Dry conditions are starting to really set in across northern New Zealand and the forecast doesn’t show much rain in the next 10 days.

As WeatherWatch.co.nz exclusively predicted back at the start of spring, the current weather pattern is favourable to creating drier than average conditions for northern New Zealand.

The only saving grace will be from tropical or sub-tropical rain makers.

Latest models show a fairly high chance of a tropical cyclone forming later in the first week of March – but the models have no idea if it will affect NZ just yet, so confidence of rain remains low at this early stage.

Meanwhile the South Island and lower North Island have more hot and cold changes coming up.