Weather Forecast for Kaikoura9m above sea level
Sunny. Breezy Nor'East winds.
Now
Today
Tonight
Next 24 Hours in Kaikoura
Next 9 Days in Kaikoura
Day
Night
16km/h
chance
of rain
5mm
Day
Night
19km/h
chance
of rain
7.4mm
Day
Night
26km/h
chance
of rain
19.5mm
Day
Night
16km/h
chance
of rain
8.3mm
Day
Night
16km/h
chance
of rain
5.8mm
Day
Night
15km/h
chance
of rain
4.5mm
Day
Night
16km/h
chance
of rain
3mm
Day
Night
15km/h
chance
of rain
5.5mm
Day
Night
16km/h
chance
of rain
4.4mm
Comments
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Latest Video
VIDEO: 7 Day RainWatch: We explain the flip-flopping Easter forecast
High pressure may be dominating NZ for now, but a large low pressure area is challenging this as we headβ¦
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WeatherObserver on 12/04/2025 2:52am
On the videos from last Wednesday-Thursday, the maps showed almost no rain, and it was said that the weather modelsβ maps have been βflip floppingβ frequently between dry AND wet, yet all forecasts on both the website and the app showed
only steady increase in the chance and amount of rain from 30 to 50mm (no changing to dry AND wet weather as suggested in the video). Why there is such a huge difference between the app and your video forecasts? Though for now both sources are aligned, but wondering why the differences occurred on those two days.
Reply
WW Forecast Team on 12/04/2025 5:36am
Hi there, it was simply the run of one model (an outlier) used in our videos (and had also been a bit βback and forthβ in the days leading up to that video) β but our website(s) & app update hourly using hundreds of computer modelling/ensembles added to it. The data on our site is more accurate than the maps we use.
Also, April is notorious for sudden lows deepening as high pressure systems over NZ move through much faster and come in different shapes β making longer range forecasts much more difficult/changeable than previous months during summer.
β Cheers WW
Reply
Jet on 10/04/2025 10:43pm
Hi Phil isnβt Nelson sheltered frothe south east
Reply
Vlad on 11/04/2025 11:45am
Hello. That is very good question for Mr. Google. He would know best.
Reply
John on 12/04/2025 4:36am
Nice one Vlad. Seems they donβt teach geography in Nelson Schools these days!!
Reply
Roger Holman on 10/04/2025 9:19pm
Really confused by the video forecast on Thursday 10th April, showing little or no rain for Northland, yet the daily forecasts show up to 100mm total for next week?
Reply
WW Forecast Team on 10/04/2025 9:38pm
Morning Roger. I think youβll see why in todayβs video β the data has been flip flopping in the long range maps for a number of days now, todayβs change is one of the biggest Iβve seen in a while. It makes sense (to me anyway) why itβs flip flopping so hopefully I can explain that today.
β Phil D
Reply
Josh on 7/04/2025 9:53pm
some good rain in papakura last Friday. Thanks for the great forecasts as always phil. you are funny to watch and very informative.
some tornado weather down levin way this morning? unstable in auckland. atm.
Reply
Lindsay Wright on 5/04/2025 6:35am
Thanks for the great serviceβ¦.can you tell me how to change settingsβ¦specifically km/h to kts (knots) for wind speed.
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