Tropical Cyclone Vania formed south of Vanuatu Wednesday afternoon reports WeatherWatch.co.nz.

The Category one cyclone is expected to strengthen in the coming days.

As of 10pm Wednesday the central air pressure was 987hPa and slowly falling.

The Fiji Meteorological Service says Vania has sustained winds of 65km/h, making it a weak category one cyclone – on a scale that goes up to five…

Tropical Cyclone Vania / MTSAT

WeatherWatch.co.nz forecasters say the tropical cyclone will drift slowly south west towards Noumea, New Caledonia, as it strengthens.

The cyclone could have a serious impact on the capital.
As far as New Zealand goes it is still too early to be sure about what sort of impact Vania will have.

The latest models can’t agree on timing or which region will be most affected, however WeatherWatch.co.nz believes the North Island will be at an increased risk of the tropical low between

Tuesday and Thursday next week – 48 hours later than we previously predicted.

Our confidence of severe weather reaching New Zealand still remains low, which will be good news for campers and farmers. Farmers, who desperately need rain in Northland and Waikato, won’t be wanting droughts turning into floods, so a weakened tropical low could be ideal.

WeatherWatch.co.nz will bring you the latest updates over the coming days.