Here’s what is making the weather headlines this weekend…..

📽️🛰️🌀Past 6 hours satellite imagery (water vapour). You can clearly see the swirl at the centre as the low has been deepening / getting better organised today.

☔️Broken up / patchy rain clouds. But the slow movement of the low means some areas may have slow moving heavy rain. pic.twitter.com/gUDCA35QOK

— WeatherWatch.co.nz (@WeatherWatchNZ) October 29, 2023

🌀About 24 to 48 hours to go. The Low north of NZ deepens further today (strengthens), then gradually weakens later on Monday & mostly falls apart on Tuesday.

It's tracking into high pressure over the South Island & that keeps it windy in the north until it weakens. #LowGoSlow pic.twitter.com/X0QXybv1jb

— WeatherWatch.co.nz (@WeatherWatchNZ) October 29, 2023

🌀A large Low is deepening just north of #NewZealand.
💪High pressure over the South Island will stall this low offshore for the next two days.
⬅️Prolonged windy easterlies, peaking tonight &/or Monday for most in the north.
🔎Track your peak wind/rain at https://t.co/D35ySCkVqG pic.twitter.com/CYPnp3f3H0

— WeatherWatch.co.nz (@WeatherWatchNZ) October 28, 2023

Next 72 hours show a new sub-tropical low rapidly deepening, then weakening again as it moves into northern #NewZealand and into a big belt of high pressure. pic.twitter.com/XAyi4vN6bw

— WeatherWatch.co.nz (@WeatherWatchNZ) October 28, 2023

FROSTY!

A short and simple title but explains conditions Saturday morning, again Sunday morning and perhaps a touch on Monday morning too.

Saturday morning’s frosts will be the harshest, Sunday morning will still be cold but frosts retreat inland a bit more then Monday morning’s frost potential will mostly be about alpine areas of the South Island.

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NORTH ISLAND STORM SUNDAY / MONDAY

As has been mentioned plenty already but can easily be mentioned much more, a tropical low including the remnants of Ex Tropical Cyclone Lola affects the North Island from Sunday into Monday.

Heavy rain slowly spreads down over the upper North Island on Sunday, expect gale east to southeasterly winds, severe gale winds will be likely for coastal areas especially in the east.

Rain spreads south on Monday with the heaviest rain likely in the east although this rain will not likely be as bad as what the upper North Island experiences on Sunday. Gale to severe gale easterly quarter winds for the upper North Island first thing on Monday then these winds back off, strong winds move south but once again winds like the rain will not be as bad for the lower North Island, still strong but not as bad.

Beyond some rain for the top of the South Island on Monday the South Island is most likely to escape unscathed from this low going by current guidance.

Moving further ahead to Tuesday and Wednesday next week the strong wind component of this low moves away as a front passes out to the east, the low still hangs around though with plenty of moisture in the air. Downpours and afternoon thunderstorms will be something to watch out for then.

Keep up to date with weather watches and warnings in relation to this low from Metservice here.

🌀The remnants of #Lola are reforming this weekend. Make the most of Saturday if you're in the North Island, it will be stormy in the upper North Island on Sunday, especially later in the day.

⚠️Live official @MetService warnings and watches: https://t.co/7xoHnjeNiw pic.twitter.com/iJUQN5O8oZ

— WeatherWatch.co.nz (@WeatherWatchNZ) October 27, 2023

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WEATHER ON SUNDAY – STORM MOVES IN

High pressure covers the South Island today bringing settled weather meanwhile a tropical low to the north sees a strengthening easterly quarter airflow for the upper North Island and heavy rain move in.

North Island

Rain for Northland becomes heavy in the morning, spreading into Auckland in the afternoon then further south over the upper North Island during the evening and overnight. Very heavy falls possible especially in the east as heavy rain moves south. Expect gale to severe gale ESE winds, from afternoon winds will be strongest over the upper North Island, eastern areas will likely see the strongest winds. Sunny spells and increasing cloud along the east coat, by evening a few drizzle patches move in with easterlies tending northeast. High cloud and sun in the west with easterly quarter winds, picking up later in the day.

South Island

Mostly sunny and settled, a frosty start especially inland. Fog patches to start also mainly in the south. Some high cloud will spread down from the north for the upper South Island. A few afternoon clouds about the ranges then breaking away in the evening. Fiordland sees cloudy periods, perhaps a light shower or two. Winds are light in the morning then tending onshore in the afternoon, northeasterlies along the east coast become quite fresh in the afternoon.

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