WeatherWatch.co.nz continues to monitor the potential for rain in New Zealand and we still see some chance for rain or showers next week and the start of March.

Around Feb 25 and 26 a low will likely move in from the Tasman Sea – this should bring rain in to western areas of both islands.

On the 27th there is some chance of spillover into Otago, Canterbury and Marlborough – but it’s very hit and miss and we do believe some areas may receive very little (due to the Southern Alps blocking the rain).

The next low coming in will be around March 2nd – if the models we trust are accurate – and this looks more northern New Zealand focused.

This may bring rain or showers into the Upper North Island – but a question mark definitely still remains as to how far south any potential rain could go – ie, will be just Northland or further south into Waikato and dry Bay of Plenty.

Elsewhere, it’s generally dry – but there are signs of life north of New Zealand rain-wise now that the seas north of us are peaking in warmth.

– WeatherWatch.co.nz