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“Phenomenal Seas” as Cyclone Yasi heads towards Australia (+Maps)

> From the WeatherWatch archives

Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi continues to push out into the open waters over the Coral Sea as it races towards Cairns and the Queensland Coast.

The cyclone continues to track in a westerly direction but should start to take a slightly more south west direction overnight tonight.

We have extensive coverage of Yasi, including the latest forecast maps and satellite images.

Yasi is currently a Category 3 tropical cyclone with winds averaging 155km/h and gusting to 220km/h.

Image : Infrared satellite map of Yasi today / MTSAT

It is racing towards Queensland at 33km/h and this fast movement will help push up the winds in front of it (but decrease them a bit behind it).

The air pressure is 960hPa but is predicted to fall in to 938hPa late tomorrow predicts Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology (BoM).

Meanwhile BoM is using strong language in their latest shipping forecast, saying the Yasi is creating “phenomenal seas” around the centre of the low stretching as far as 75kms.

WeatherWatch.co.nz says these incredible seas could pose a serious risk to the fragile Great Barrier Reef which lies directly in its path.   The weather news authority says Yasi may cause damage that will take years if not decades to repair.

However WeatherWatch.co.nz says the estimated arrival time for Yasi to make landfall could be favourable with the sea heading towards low tide as the eye makes landfall, which could reduce the storm surge.


Predicted swells around 10pm on Wednesday as Yasi moves in.  Orange indicates 3 metre swells, purple at least 8 metres.  Image / Weathermap.co.nz

WeatherWatch.co.nz says that while Yasi has the same strength as Wilma it is much bigger in size.

Wilma is about 2500kms in diameter.  To compare, New Zealand is just 1500kms long.

As of 4pm NZT Yasi remained 1300kms east of Cairns.

Here is the latest track prediction for Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, issued by BoM.


Predicted tracking by the Joint Typhoon Warning Centre


Yasi late this morning / Google Earth

Comments

Before you add a new comment, take note this story was published on 1 Feb 2011.

Guest on 2/02/2011 7:55am

Hi all,
The ABC is running continuous coverage on TC Yasi. Can probably see it at abc.net.au/news
-Kris from Oz

Guest on 1/02/2011 11:53am

Hi there is this going to hit New Zealand at all!!!!!!!

WW Forecast Team on 1/02/2011 5:55pm

No it won’t luckily.  Yasi is going to make landfall in Queensland and in a couple of days it will hardly even register as a low let alone a cyclone.

– WW

Guest on 1/02/2011 8:47am

What do you reckon – a 50% chance of Cat 5 before landfall?
SST’s are a little lower – but not really low enough to stall growth – just slow it a bit. And everything upstairs seems to be in order…

WW Forecast Team on 1/02/2011 9:02am

We said last week that it may touch Cat 5 and we still believe that, despite – as you say – it being a bit slow.  It will certainly be a very powerful storm when it makes landfall.  Looks very ominous on the maps tonight.

– WeatherWatch

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