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Monday’s Headlines: Rain outlook, More frosts to come, Warmest in the north

> From the WeatherWatch archives

Here’s what is making the weather headlines today….

RAIN OUTLOOK

A bit of dry weather coming up for the next seven days, just the northeast of the North Island appears to have average to higher than average rainfall. Tasman and southern Fiordland sneak in with average rainfall also.

The rain in the northeast comes from a front moving in from the Tasman around the 16th – 18th June, the 18th June specifically may see the heaviest rain.

The map below runs from today through to Sunday 18th June. Blue colouring means that part of the country is expecting more rainfall than would normally be expected at this time of year, red means less rainfall is expected and white is an average amount of rainfall. The more intense either red or blue then either scenario is more true.

Precipitation percentage of normal map through to Sunday 18th June 2023 – GrADS/COLA

MORE FROSTS TO COME

While not as cold as last week was for the inner South Island, this week still sees more frosts on the way.

The image below is for Twizel, you can see the frost risk is there most nights. I would lower those temperatures though to between -2 and -4 degrees. The model output below detects the risk but is a bit out in regards to how low it could go.

A risk of frosts occurs for many South Island areas especially inland, more at ruralweather.co.nz, use the search function and click on the “Frost” tab.

THE WINTERLESS NORTH IS WHERE IT’S WARMEST

If you are looking for the warmest day time temperatures around New Zealand for most of winter it will be about the upper North Island, Northland more specifically.

Take a look at these charts below, the first one for Kaitaia in Northland this week, the second for Alexandra further south. There you have it.

Disclaimer: Some prefer the crisp sunny days of the central South Island over warmer days further north, whatever floats one’s boat. This was purely in reference to the day time high’s.

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Before you add a new comment, take note this story was published on 11 Jun 2023.

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