High pressure will be the main weather-maker this week.  That will help the North Island to see some fairly settled weather for the middle of this week, the western Mainland could still be a bit showery.

Tomorrow, the high will still be far enough off that showery conditions will still be found dotting the country.  The best chance for rain will be about central New Zealand and the deep south.  Shower chances are small and whatever falls should be pretty light.

On Tuesday, that high moves east a bit and gets a little closer to the North Island.  That will settled the weather for the North Island.  However, it will also tilt the winds coming on shore on the western South Island to set the stage for some pretty showery weather.

In fact on Wednesday, whilst the North Island sees another settled day, the western South Island will see even more rain.  Current model data indicates that some of that the West Coast could see some heavy rain.

On Thursday, the high dies off and both islands will see unsettled weather.  The best chance for rain will still be on the South Island, but a few showers may start showing up on the North Island too.  That will remain the case into Friday as well.

The holiday weekend is also looking a bit iffy for those with outdoor plans.  WeatherWatch.co.nz Head Weather Analyst Philip Duncan says holidaymakers should prepare for some rain, but the data at this early stage is leaning towards dry and windy for many regions.  “It looks as though we’ll have a large high trying to spread towards us from Australia but it may be a little too far north to fully protect the country.  That means we’ll see a battle between low and high pressure directly over us and that can mean windy weather”.

Homepage image/ Ian Duncan

WeatherWatch.co.nz