The wind and rain that moved southwards over the North Island is sliding back north again – and will linger until at least the middle to later part of the coming week, before yet again sliding back southwards.

Last Friday the rain and wind was over Auckland. By Saturday winds had eased in the north with rain spreading down across the North Island. Today, Sunday, the more broken-up rain band is moving back northwards again into Coromandel Peninsula and later Auckland and Northland…only to return back southwards again by Tuesday/Wednesday (for the last time).

This means Auckland and other northern areas have more heavy rain – and more gales – mainly this Tuesday, with long dry spells today before the heavier showers are possible again.

Over Sunday and Monday wet weather will spread back to a number of places, with isolated thunderstorms.

Overnight last night and into Sunday morning a slow moving band of heavy rain and thunderstorms has been affecting the Coromandel Peninsula and Kaimai Ranges, and as of 7am Sunday was lying inland around Tauranga. More instability today and Monday will likely result in more areas of thunderstorms (which can produce locally heavier rain – and go beyond what is forecast in rainfall).

“Between slow moving thunderstorms and the general rain forecast, Auckland City may still receive a further 80 to 120mm in the coming days, this is a month’s worth of rain, or more, still to move in this week” says head forecaster Philip Duncan. “The wettest and windiest day looks to be later on Tuesday which may be stormy for some in Auckland and Northland”.

Gale force winds on Tuesday (again, blowing from the north east) may bring damaging gusts and further power outages to the Auckland region with gusts over 100km/h forecast in exposed places as the “squash zone” continues on (caused by powerful high pressure east of NZ and low pressure near Northland which deepens in the coming days, before breaking apart on Wednesday/Thursday).

Whilst Auckland is making the headlines at the moment, this is not an Auckland only event with windy and wet weather dominating the upper North Island on Tuesday – but also more downpours with thunderstorms today Sunday and again on Monday in some places in the northern half of the North Island.

Drier, more settled weather returns to Auckland and the rest of the North Island by the end of this week or by this coming Saturday.

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📽️3 days of Weather in 6 seconds.

The North Island won't be shaking this until the end of the upcoming week.

Note how it slides back north…only to yet again return south this week.

Tuesday looks especially wet & windy in the north & around Auckland again. More details soon. pic.twitter.com/vYgEiiivjI

— WeatherWatch.co.nz (@WeatherWatchNZ) January 28, 2023