Friday’s Headlines (x3): Heavy rain outlook, Strong wind outlook, High pressure late next week

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Friday’s Headlines (x3): Heavy rain outlook, Strong wind outlook, High pressure late next week

9/02/2023 5:49pm

> From the WeatherWatch archives

Here’s what is making the weather headlines today.

For watches and warnings from Metservice in relation to tropical cyclone Gabrielle heading in please see this page here.

🚨🌀#BreakingNews: Cyclone Gabrielle is now a "Severe Category 3" storm, says BoM. pic.twitter.com/S2DlbGEdcy
— WeatherWatch.co.nz (@WeatherWatchNZ) February 9, 2023

🌀Good Friday morning – here's the latest thinking from 3 of the trusted global models we use.

Not a great deal of change, a very slight shift eastwards for EMCWF and UKMO, but doesn't change severe weather risks for NZ a great deal. #CycloneGabrielle https://t.co/gb7E1quzdb pic.twitter.com/vT1ioOIWJD
— WeatherWatch.co.nz (@WeatherWatchNZ) February 9, 2023

RAINFALL OUTLOOK

The map below shows the rainfall outlook for the next seven days, through till 17th February. More specifically where rainfall is expected to be higher compared to the statistical average and lower, blue is higher than average and red is lower than average.

A lot of this pertains to tropical cyclone Gabrielle which heads in early next week, we can see the upper North Island and the east coast gets the heaviest rain. Also while not as heavy Banks Peninsula up through to Marlborough gets rain too around Tuesday / Wednesday next week, considering it is quite dry in that part of the country at the moment this will be welcome. On the flip side this also shows the lower South Island and West Coast has some reasonably good weather coming up.

Coromandel and just north of Auckland through to Northland will be the spots to pay attention to for the heaviest falls, also East Cape, Gisborne and Hawke’s Bay.

Precipitation percentage of normal map through to 17th February 2023

STRONG WINDS SUNDAY THROUGH TO WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK

As tropical cyclone Gabrielle moves in and over the North Island, very strong winds will naturally be associated with it, you can see this in the maps below. There will be some change in the exact placement of these strong winds but generally the message is clear, batten down the hatches.

Wind map – Sun 12th Feb 2023 4:00pm – Weatherzone.com.au

Wind map – Wed 15th Feb 2023 4:00pm – Weatherzone.com.au

HIGH MOVES IN FRIDAY NEXT WEEK

Wednesday next week is the final throws of what will be ex tropical cyclone Gabrielle, Thursday we have southwesterlies and showers still for some especially the North Island. Friday is when there is some calm returning as high pressure moves in

MSLP / Rain map – Friday 17th February 2023 4:00pm – Weatherzone.com.au

Comments

Before you add a new comment, take note this story was published on 9 Feb 2023.

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Nigel on 10/02/2023 2:57am

This is like the weather in the 70’s.
Should be good surf somewhere.

Reply

Mike on 10/02/2023 12:10am

Cat 3 out of 5 sort makes it sound not so bad, It feels like people are not taking it so seriously because its only a 3. Have we ever had a 4 or a 5 hit NZ?

Reply

WW Forecast Team on 10/02/2023 1:34am

Any category of cyclone is serious – that’s why they have the numbers. NZ doesn’t get technical tropical cyclones, they become extra-tropical so they lose the category rating…but most excyclones are Cat 1 or 2 equiv. We’ve never had a Cat 4 or 5 equiv storm here in NZ.
– WW

Reply

AB on 9/02/2023 11:53pm

I have a flight on Tuesday 14th at 6:00am to Melbourne by Qantas. What are the chances it might be affected. Thanks.

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WW Forecast Team on 10/02/2023 12:37am

Could well be, something you’ll have to keep an eye on.

WW

Reply

Anton on 9/02/2023 7:27pm

I see ‘Gab’ a cat 3 now and being called a exceptionally large cyclone.

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WW Forecast Team on 9/02/2023 7:31pm