The first tropical cyclone of the season *may* be forming next week, based on reliable modelling we trust.

We give a brief update on the possibility of it forming and, if it does, where it may track.

We also cover the southerly change moving into NZ and heavy rain around Wellington and central NZ. Australia also has wetter and cooler weather this week.

Aucklanders and those in the upper North Island don’t get the cool change – so expect more humid nights ahead with low hovering close to 20C.