Next 24 Hours in Welcome Bay Urban, Tauranga, Bay Of Plenty
Next 9 Days in Welcome Bay Urban, Tauranga, Bay Of Plenty
Tue 3 Dec
Tue 3 Dec
27°
Day
16°
Night
Partly cloudy. Fairly breezy Westerly winds.
W
22km/h
10%
chance
of rain
trace
Partly cloudy. Fairly breezy Westerly winds.
Wed 4 Dec
Wed 4 Dec
25°
Day
14°
Night
Partly cloudy. Fairly breezy Westerly winds.
W
24km/h
10%
chance
of rain
trace
Partly cloudy. Fairly breezy Westerly winds.
Thu 5 Dec
Thu 5 Dec
25°
Day
15°
Night
Mainly sunny. Breezy Westerly winds.
W
19km/h
0%
chance
of rain
trace
Mainly sunny. Breezy Westerly winds.
Fri 6 Dec
Fri 6 Dec
23°
Day
14°
Night
Partly cloudy. Breezy Nor'West winds.
NW
16km/h
10%
chance
of rain
trace
Partly cloudy. Breezy Nor'West winds.
Sat 7 Dec
Sat 7 Dec
24°
Day
17°
Night
Partly cloudy. Breezy Nor'West winds.
NW
17km/h
10%
chance
of rain
trace
Partly cloudy. Breezy Nor'West winds.
Sun 8 Dec
Sun 8 Dec
23°
Day
14°
Night
Morning showers. Fairly breezy West to Nor'West winds.
WNW
21km/h
40%
chance
of rain
0.6mm
Morning showers. Fairly breezy West to Nor'West winds.
Mon 9 Dec
Mon 9 Dec
23°
Day
14°
Night
Mostly cloudy. Breezy Westerly winds.
W
14km/h
20%
chance
of rain
trace
Mostly cloudy. Breezy Westerly winds.
Tue 10 Dec
Tue 10 Dec
23°
Day
15°
Night
Partly cloudy. Light Nor'West winds.
NW
12km/h
20%
chance
of rain
trace
Partly cloudy. Light Nor'West winds.
Wed 11 Dec
Wed 11 Dec
23°
Day
15°
Night
Mostly cloudy. Light Northerly winds.
N
13km/h
20%
chance
of rain
trace
Mostly cloudy. Light Northerly winds.
Comments
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Edward on 1/12/2024 11:24pm
Hi Phil,
I was wondering if you could elaborate a little more around cold fronts. What conditions/set up is needed for them to properly make it to the Waikato (in the sense of delivering meaninful rain), and what causes them to fizzle?
I know from my own rainfall records that last summer here where I farm (Matamata/Tirau), it started to dry out a bit in December but we had some rain between Christmas and the new year (I think from a low, if my memory serves me right), and then regularly we received 20-30mm of rain from cold fronts in January, which kept things growing well. Once February rolled around however, that dried up. I’ve noticed that also this year, the cold fronts have just decided to give up and only deliver a few mm’s or none at all. What causes this?
Cheers,
Edward
Reply
Josh on 1/12/2024 7:40pm
hey phil and ww team. Josh here. december already. I love your auckland forecast today haha. yes its been very cloudy most of weekend and last week with few sunny days. hopefully this summery week is sunny.
Reply
Pete Davies on 1/12/2024 5:39am
Hi Phil
NIWA said on Friday there was a significant weather rain event for second or third week of December,for the west of both islands
Care to comment? Thanks pete ( hopefully it’s true😂)
Reply
WW Forecast Team on 1/12/2024 6:02am
Hi Pete, Lots of westerly driven showers and southern rain bands are coming – so it ‘piles up’ on the South Island’s West Coast. Long range data still shows wetter than normal for Westland southwards – and normal northwards, with those totals tapering off as you head towards Cook Strait and Tarakaki. Below normal rainfall for the western North Island. We’ll have more details in our December ClimateWatch video out later on Monday afternoon. It’s still spring-like in our view and that means a messy forecast mixed in with some big high pressure zones nearby.
– PD
Reply
Jet on 26/11/2024 9:38pm
Hi guys when is your next climate outlook
Reply
WW Forecast Team on 26/11/2024 10:33pm
Hi Jet,
Monday afternoon December 2nd.
– WW
Reply
josh on 25/11/2024 9:24pm
hey phil There was thunder in auckland last thursday but nothing was mentioned by the metservice. i know there was some south .
Reply
Tony on 25/11/2024 6:17pm
Do you think this is a good prediction: https://www.stuff.co.nz/nz-news/360498554/hot-wet-summer-north-east-dry-west
Reply
WW Forecast Team on 25/11/2024 8:51pm
Hi Tony, here’s the raw data from the Australian Government. In NZ, NIWA is very commercial for a Govt Agency so NIWA just give their prediction but don’t provide data to support it (as open data means others might use it, and NZ Govt is against fair competition). Here’s the data so you can see for yourself in graph form: http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/#tabs=Pacific-Ocean and it shows no major ramp up yet to La Nina.
It’s always been possible that a La Nina might form, but for now NZ’s weather in 2024 continues to be dominated from south of NZ not the equator. We are forecasting spring weather into December with increasing dry areas. A similar outlook to NIWA maybe, but without the La Nina focus quite so much.
Kind regards
Phil D
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