Weak low pressure will linger over the upper North Island today bringing early fog patches, daytime low cloud and some rain and showers.

Elsewhere not a lot is happening with more fog around NZ and any frosty weather quickly becoming confined to alpine areas as milder air moves in over the days and nights ahead.

Low pressure means clouds can form quickly – some times fog can form then clear, only to give way to cloud or rain soon after.

Driest weather will be in southern NZ (Southland, Otago) and the West Coast.

Most places have light or lighter winds over Wednesday and Thursday.

#Temperatures – Departure from *Normal. With the exception of the eastern North Island, most places are a few to several degrees above average this Friday and Saturday.

*Normal being what is usually recorded at this time of year over the past few decades. pic.twitter.com/EFwPAtKTHU

— WeatherWatch.co.nz (@WeatherWatchNZ) July 16, 2024

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OFFSHORE NORTH-EASTERN STORM THIS WEEKEND?
As we’ve been discussing in our weather videos this week there is the chance of a short lived storm forming to the north east of the North Island on Friday night/or Saturday/Sunday. It’s been a bit ‘off and on’ in the various modelling these past few days – but it does have the chance to bring heavy rain and bigger seas/waves once again to the eastern North Island. No two lows are ever identical in all features – but sometimes you can have the right conditions to produce some repetitive weather and that’s what the eastern North Island might have to contend with again.

Some weather events have perfect conditions to form, others have complicated conditions – and that’s why sometimes weather forecasters can know what is happening with accuracy 10 days out, and other times we need to wait until much closer to the event. This one may take a few more days to lock in with more precision, so we’ll have more details on the latest computer models out today, in our weather video around the middle of the day.

🌀The large low in the Tasman Sea collapses on Friday, but then all eyes shift to the north east of #NZ for a potential offshore storm scooting past on Saturday.

☔️You can see in the final frame that rain & showers cover a large part of the North Island by Friday night. pic.twitter.com/1a4ITq4I9O

— WeatherWatch.co.nz (@WeatherWatchNZ) July 16, 2024

🌀An offshore storm may spin up this weekend as it rapidly forms, and then exits, around the subtropics & near #NZ.

⚠️At this stage the north-eastern corner of the North Island is at some risk of severe weather, but too early yet to be certain.

🌊Seas may become dangerous too. pic.twitter.com/FD0kV1tMVZ

— WeatherWatch.co.nz (@WeatherWatchNZ) July 16, 2024

🎥🍿Here's the forecast for the rest of July, ending on the 1st of August.#NewZealand's weather summed up in two words:
1️⃣Messy
2️⃣Disorganised #Australia's weather summed up with one word:
1️⃣Continuation #Winter2024 pic.twitter.com/ChJdPxGCIm

— WeatherWatch.co.nz (@WeatherWatchNZ) July 16, 2024

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