Australia is under threat from more flooding as tropical conditions solidify around the nation predicts WeatherWatch.co.nz.

The most active area remains in the Coral Sea where warmer than average sea temperatures are helping fuel numerous lows and rain bands.   The models are picking at least two new lows to form in the next week in this area, one is likely to have a minor impact on New Zealand, mostly in the form of cloud and increased humidity, while the second may take a direct hit further south in Australia, along the New South Wales coast.

While it’s early days in the modelling it isn’t out of the question for these lows to track further south on the Australian coastline and into Sydney.

Meanwhile the monsoon rains have arrived two weeks early in the north and north west, according to Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology.  A number of lows have been tracking around the isolated north western quarter of Australia over the past few weeks.  Today there is “moderate” risk of a tropical cyclone forming in the north west.  That then falls to “low” over the next two days.

Back home and despite an increased risk of lows coming to New Zealand from the north west over the next two weeks the data is taking a cautious approach, saying a low – or at least remnants of one – should approach us, but that the high in the east is unlikely to let it bring much rain in to northern areas.

WeatherWatch.co.nz says it appears the sub-tropics are becoming much more active north west and north east of Australia (or just to NZ’s north west).

Meanwhile southern Australia is facing yet another heat wave as dry conditions push through. 

– WeatherWatch.co.nz

Homepage image: File / Brian Turner