Thunderstorm Outlook
Issued at 7:29am 19/05/2024
Valid from 7:29am 19/05/2024 to Midnight 19/05/2024
No thunderstorms or significant convection expected during this period.
Issued at 7:18pm 19/05/2024
Valid from Midnight 19/05/2024 to Midday 20/05/2024
No thunderstorms or significant convection expected during this period.
Issued at 8:55am 19/05/2024
Valid from Midday 20/05/2024 to Midnight 20/05/2024
A trough may affect Northland late tomorrow, although there is considerable variation in the models regarding its position and timing. There is a low risk of thunderstorms affecting Northland tomorrow evening and night. No thunderstorms or severe convection expected over the remainder of New Zealand.
Severe Thunderstorm Criteria
In New Zealand, MetService classifies a thunderstorm as severe if one or more of the following criteria are met:
Heavy rain (from thunderstorms):
Rainfall of 25mm/h, or more.
Large hail:
Hailstones 20mm in diameter, or larger.
Strong wind gusts (from thunderstorms):
Gusts of 110km/h (60 knots) or stronger.
Damaging tornadoes:
Fujita F1 - i.e. wind speeds greater than 116km/h (63 knots) or stronger.
Note: some tornadic systems such as funnel clouds, waterspouts and small land-based tornadoes are possible with thunderstorms that may not be classified as severe.
